Tuesday, January 20, 2015


In a clear indication that the Nigerian armed forces cannot defeat Boko Haram, the government has ordered the court martial of twenty two army officers. Though the specific charges have not been identified, they are accused of deliberately sabotaging the war effort.

Not yet named, the ranks of the officers under arrest in Lagos are:
(1) A Brigadier General.
(2) 14 colonels.
(3) A Major.
(4) 5 Captains.
(5) A Lieutenant.

It has been alleged that Boko Haram has infiltrated both the army and the police forces.In June of last year, ten army generals, and other officers, were found guilty of supplying arms and intelligence to Boko Haram.

 When you add the infiltration problem to the rampant corruption that pervades the Nigerian army, which has resulted in an inadequately armed, under-equipped, and poorly paid, fighting force, you have a recipe for military disaster. Will Boko Haram continue to defeat the army on the field of battle, and will it result in the partition of Nigeria ? So far, the government has not offered any solution,which translates to an unacceptable level of risk for the international business and financial community. Unless the military situation radically improves, with foreign assistance on the ground  it may soon be necessary to red-line Nigeria for Country Risk, for those with financial exposure or investments, reduce potential losses ahead of the catastrophe to come. 

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