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China's new canal in 2030?
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Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s first foreign trip in 2025 was to Panama for an arm-twisting meeting with the Panamanian authorities regarding the eviction of the canal’s Chinese port operators. Interestingly, the Panamanian Supreme Court ruled on January 29, 2025, in a decision that concluded the contract held by Panama Ports Company, a subsidiary of Hong Kong's CK Hutchison, violated Panama's Constitution by giving the company exclusive privileges and tax exemptions. Additionally, the Court ruled that the contract also lacked a requirement for environmental impact assessments, and said the government had to seek Panama Ports' approval before granting other concessions. The ruling gave Washington a victory amid the intensifying U.S.-China rivalry over global trade routes and President Donald Trump's efforts to exert dominance in Latin America.
What Trump and his policy making team failed to realize or consider at the time is that the old previously scuttled plan of the Chinese Government, to build a new canal in Nicaragua, was now considered to be viable, subsequent to The National Assembly of Nicaragua's approval on January 28, 2025, of Articles of Reform to the Political Constitution, which now authorizeed the State to grant concessions for the construction of an interoceanic canal through Nicaragua.
NICARAGUA'S NEW CONSTITUTION GIVES GREEN LIGHT TO INTEROCEANIC CANAL PROJECT .
The constitutional amendment, proposed by the Nicaraguan regime, and approved unanimously in the second and final vote, established that “the State may grant concessions for the construction and exploitation of an interoceanic canal,” and that the Laws of the Matter (specific governing legislation) will regulate the conditions. While Washington was busy setting plans and assets to control Venezuelan oil and therefore to deny such rights to China, Beijing was more focused on a more lucrative and strategic plan subsequent to Nicaragua's President Daniel Ortega offer to China, on November 18, 2025, regarding his country's project to build an interoceanic canal through the Central American country.
This time, however, the project involved a new route in which, instead of crossing the Great Lake or Lake Cocibolca, it would pass through Lake Xolotlán (Lake Managua).The new route would start from a port to be built in Bluefields, the main city of the South Caribbean Autonomous Region, pass through the central part of Nicaragua, Lake Xolotlán, and finally exit through the port of Corinto, on the Pacific. According to Ortega, the new project would have a longer route than the one previously presented and would cover some 445 kilometers in length, with a width of between 290 and 540 meters and a depth of twenty-seven meters.
For its operation, the construction of two locks would be required, one in the Caribbean and another in the Pacific, as well as the creation of an artificial lake that would be called El Escondido. Common sense dictates that Beijing will never undertake such an expensive project without first deploying its Military and intelligence might in the region. This means building Chinese military bases in Nicaragua and Cuba.
We regard America's failure to see past Venezuela and the Panama Canal be be a strategic failure of the Trump administration's foreign policy apparatus to see several moves ahead in the game of global chess, which will give Iran, North Korea, Russia, and other bad actor states the ability to set up shop right in America’s backyard, Central America and the Caribbean.